************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1515.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=4.907672e-05 icount=42, z=1.754668e-07 icount=62, z=7.947345e-13 icount=81, z=6.111803e-14 icount=98, z=8.834026e-18 102 0.00000 0.51060 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 795.7 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-795.746 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1605.491 BIC =1629.619 BIC_tp =1616.753 BIC_c =1637.792 ln_det_I =8.173 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 13.84223 mm/yr^0.25530 d = 0.5106 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.0212 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00005 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 7.33996 bias : 3.127 +/- 12.681 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 3.776 +/- 0.557 mm/year cos yearly : 1.757 +/- 0.931 mm sin yearly : -13.338 +/- 0.933 mm Amp yearly : 13.485 +/- 0.931 mm Pha yearly : -82.494 degrees --> mom_files/1515.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec