************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1748.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=2.641313e-02 icount=38, z=8.761055e-09 icount=57, z=2.297976e-12 icount=77, z=2.539383e-18 81 0.69595 0.78923 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1138 Number of iterations = 81 Number of restarts = 0 Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1137.639 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2289.279 BIC =2313.406 BIC_tp =2300.541 BIC_c =2302.950 ln_det_I =-10.456 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 0.21128 sigma = 48.87902 mm/yr^0.39461 d = 0.7892 +/- 0.0692 kappa = -1.5785 +/- 0.1384 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.78872 sigma = 35.42346 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 39.88693 bias : 47.705 +/- 488.910 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 12.907 +/- 5.056 mm/year cos yearly : 19.435 +/- 5.245 mm sin yearly : -65.407 +/- 5.251 mm Amp yearly : 68.435 +/- 5.240 mm Pha yearly : -73.451 degrees --> mom_files/1748.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec