************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1859.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=20, z=2.065513e-01 icount=39, z=3.579744e-07 icount=58, z=1.024203e-10 icount=78, z=1.495462e-13 icount=98, z=1.706736e-16 102 1.00000 0.70000 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1217 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1217.165 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2448.331 BIC =2472.458 BIC_tp =2459.593 BIC_c =2469.282 ln_det_I =-3.176 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00000 mm/yr^0.35000 d = 0.7000 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.4000 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 63.36073 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 63.36073 bias : -39.898 +/- 13.653 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 11.632 +/- 2.069 mm/year cos yearly : 24.953 +/- 7.954 mm sin yearly : -105.057 +/- 7.961 mm Amp yearly : 108.273 +/- 7.946 mm Pha yearly : -76.639 degrees --> mom_files/1859.mom Total computing time: 3.00000 sec