************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1936.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=7.052551e-03 icount=40, z=8.911101e-07 icount=58, z=3.198132e-08 icount=77, z=1.426465e-10 icount=96, z=1.783967e-12 icount=115, z=2.368620e-15 icount=133, z=1.825909e-17 137 0.31192 0.01000 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 822.7 Number of iterations = 137 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-822.651 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1659.303 BIC =1683.430 BIC_tp =1670.565 BIC_c =1699.638 ln_det_I =16.208 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 0.77854 sigma = 7.48939 mm/yr^0.00500 d = 0.0100 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.0200 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.22146 sigma = 3.94505 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 8.38318 bias : -2.911 +/- 0.998 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.024 +/- 0.152 mm/year cos yearly : -2.555 +/- 0.854 mm sin yearly : -3.309 +/- 0.855 mm Amp yearly : 4.269 +/- 0.845 mm Pha yearly : -127.677 degrees --> mom_files/1936.mom Total computing time: 5.00000 sec