************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/2014.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=1.445778e-04 icount=42, z=2.913679e-08 icount=61, z=3.289507e-11 icount=80, z=3.951549e-15 icount=99, z=2.102149e-18 103 0.00000 0.37750 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1108 Number of iterations = 103 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1108.196 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2230.392 BIC =2254.519 BIC_tp =2241.654 BIC_c =2255.432 ln_det_I =0.913 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 45.45659 mm/yr^0.18875 d = 0.3775 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.7550 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00015 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 28.43811 bias : -109.220 +/- 16.976 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 3.321 +/- 1.234 mm/year cos yearly : 73.212 +/- 3.321 mm sin yearly : -13.694 +/- 3.328 mm Amp yearly : 74.555 +/- 3.322 mm Pha yearly : -10.594 degrees --> mom_files/2014.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec