************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/2500.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=1.761119e-02 icount=40, z=1.985856e-04 icount=59, z=8.888408e-07 icount=77, z=1.318135e-08 icount=95, z=5.386921e-09 icount=113, z=8.365170e-11 icount=131, z=1.056055e-12 icount=149, z=2.120101e-15 icount=167, z=1.685093e-17 171 0.79298 0.01000 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1194 Number of iterations = 171 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1194.221 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2402.443 BIC =2426.570 BIC_tp =2413.705 BIC_c =2425.167 ln_det_I =-1.403 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 0.10207 sigma = 16.99031 mm/yr^0.00500 d = 0.0100 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.0200 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.89793 sigma = 49.77096 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 52.52366 bias : -136.944 +/- 10.796 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 5.947 +/- 1.637 mm/year cos yearly : 44.649 +/- 6.453 mm sin yearly : 70.399 +/- 6.461 mm Amp yearly : 83.614 +/- 6.447 mm Pha yearly : 57.616 degrees --> mom_files/2500.mom Total computing time: 6.00000 sec