************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/3608.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=2.554098e-02 icount=41, z=3.498524e-05 icount=58, z=6.988807e-09 icount=77, z=2.028454e-12 icount=95, z=1.337759e-16 99 0.00007 0.75563 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 950.4 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-950.383 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1914.766 BIC =1938.893 BIC_tp =1926.028 BIC_c =1934.326 ln_det_I =-4.567 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 35.87635 mm/yr^0.37782 d = 0.7556 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.5113 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00164 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 14.03057 bias : 6.121 +/- 262.079 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 6.947 +/- 3.158 mm/year cos yearly : -14.740 +/- 2.079 mm sin yearly : -20.854 +/- 2.083 mm Amp yearly : 25.622 +/- 2.078 mm Pha yearly : -125.252 degrees --> mom_files/3608.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec