************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/3859.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=4.423412e-04 icount=41, z=6.395123e-08 icount=60, z=1.257758e-10 icount=79, z=4.277958e-14 icount=99, z=2.603739e-17 103 0.00001 0.17814 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1004 Number of iterations = 103 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1004.272 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2022.544 BIC =2046.671 BIC_tp =2033.806 BIC_c =2055.767 ln_det_I =9.096 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 22.84462 mm/yr^0.08907 d = 0.1781 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.3563 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00042 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 18.30895 bias : -10.112 +/- 3.017 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.998 +/- 0.357 mm/year cos yearly : -5.494 +/- 1.892 mm sin yearly : -10.314 +/- 1.895 mm Amp yearly : 11.841 +/- 1.881 mm Pha yearly : -118.044 degrees --> mom_files/3859.mom Total computing time: 3.00000 sec