************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4129.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=1.083100e-03 icount=42, z=3.396201e-07 icount=61, z=3.297166e-09 icount=80, z=2.565159e-12 icount=97, z=1.937410e-16 101 0.00003 0.28159 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1008 Number of iterations = 101 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1007.597 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2029.193 BIC =2053.320 BIC_tp =2040.455 BIC_c =2060.001 ln_det_I =6.681 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 26.26474 mm/yr^0.14080 d = 0.2816 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.5632 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00091 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 18.51092 bias : 3.708 +/- 5.720 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.518 +/- 0.544 mm/year cos yearly : -0.970 +/- 2.037 mm sin yearly : -11.983 +/- 2.042 mm Amp yearly : 12.197 +/- 2.024 mm Pha yearly : -94.630 degrees --> mom_files/4129.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec