************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4502.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=5.464946e-02 icount=42, z=1.467566e-06 icount=61, z=1.556900e-09 icount=81, z=2.477985e-13 icount=97, z=1.544895e-16 101 0.00002 0.67646 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 822.1 Number of iterations = 101 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-822.073 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1658.147 BIC =1682.274 BIC_tp =1669.409 BIC_c =1684.635 ln_det_I =2.361 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 18.82592 mm/yr^0.33823 d = 0.6765 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.3529 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00026 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 8.12351 bias : 8.850 +/- 67.076 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 1.314 +/- 1.275 mm/year cos yearly : -1.436 +/- 1.145 mm sin yearly : -3.531 +/- 1.147 mm Amp yearly : 3.989 +/- 1.116 mm Pha yearly : -112.135 degrees --> mom_files/4502.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec