************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4507.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=4.555199e-02 icount=41, z=1.048535e-04 icount=61, z=9.746156e-10 icount=79, z=2.845654e-13 icount=98, z=3.453433e-17 102 0.00001 0.78623 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 784.5 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-784.531 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1583.062 BIC =1607.189 BIC_tp =1594.324 BIC_c =1607.352 ln_det_I =0.163 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 18.18416 mm/yr^0.39312 d = 0.7862 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.5725 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00007 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 6.84621 bias : 37.762 +/- 176.781 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -20.691 +/- 1.776 mm/year cos yearly : -2.797 +/- 1.035 mm sin yearly : -5.403 +/- 1.036 mm Amp yearly : 6.173 +/- 1.028 mm Pha yearly : -117.369 degrees --> mom_files/4507.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec