************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x161.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=7.343483e-05 icount=42, z=4.045483e-07 icount=61, z=8.125808e-10 icount=80, z=1.053269e-13 icount=98, z=1.577526e-17 102 0.00003 0.52154 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1067 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1067.241 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2148.481 BIC =2172.608 BIC_tp =2159.743 BIC_c =2171.113 ln_det_I =-1.495 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 45.18886 mm/yr^0.26077 d = 0.5215 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.0431 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00099 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 23.63802 bias : -9.968 +/- 44.933 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -0.695 +/- 1.879 mm/year cos yearly : -11.717 +/- 3.020 mm sin yearly : 35.518 +/- 3.026 mm Amp yearly : 37.523 +/- 3.018 mm Pha yearly : 108.258 degrees --> mom_files/x161.mom Total computing time: 3.00000 sec