************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x579.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=3.635517e-03 icount=41, z=2.990600e-07 icount=61, z=6.843016e-11 icount=79, z=1.379045e-13 icount=98, z=3.682886e-18 102 0.00002 0.19197 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1025 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1025.384 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2064.768 BIC =2088.895 BIC_tp =2076.030 BIC_c =2096.966 ln_det_I =8.070 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 25.44530 mm/yr^0.09598 d = 0.1920 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.3839 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00069 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 20.04577 bias : 19.510 +/- 3.578 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 1.026 +/- 0.413 mm/year cos yearly : -22.218 +/- 2.089 mm sin yearly : -17.736 +/- 2.093 mm Amp yearly : 28.506 +/- 2.088 mm Pha yearly : -141.400 degrees --> mom_files/x579.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec