************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x931.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=4.075440e-04 icount=41, z=4.225800e-07 icount=61, z=2.371772e-11 icount=80, z=2.125627e-12 icount=98, z=7.604463e-17 102 0.00001 0.16797 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1035 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1034.602 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2083.205 BIC =2107.332 BIC_tp =2094.467 BIC_c =2115.600 ln_det_I =8.268 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 25.71518 mm/yr^0.08399 d = 0.1680 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.3359 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 6.900000e-06 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00018 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 20.87147 bias : 14.720 +/- 3.246 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.865 +/- 0.392 mm/year cos yearly : -10.684 +/- 2.144 mm sin yearly : -17.008 +/- 2.147 mm Amp yearly : 20.200 +/- 2.139 mm Pha yearly : -122.137 degrees --> mom_files/x931.mom Total computing time: 4.00000 sec