************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1180.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=3.893250e-04 icount=40, z=4.446365e-05 icount=58, z=3.137100e-06 icount=75, z=1.580905e-09 icount=95, z=1.669429e-13 icount=114, z=7.082780e-17 118 0.00002 0.31887 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 788.7 Number of iterations = 118 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-788.667 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1591.334 BIC =1615.461 BIC_tp =1602.596 BIC_c =1631.333 ln_det_I =15.872 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 10.71409 mm/yr^0.15944 d = 0.3189 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.6377 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00027 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 7.20934 bias : -7.888 +/- 1.145 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 0.208 +/- 0.171 mm/year cos yearly : -3.391 +/- 0.817 mm sin yearly : -4.918 +/- 0.819 mm Amp yearly : 6.030 +/- 0.814 mm Pha yearly : -124.583 degrees --> mom_files/1180.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec