************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1747.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=1.343577e-02 icount=41, z=1.352394e-03 icount=61, z=9.912507e-03 icount=80, z=1.185795e-04 icount=98, z=3.702568e-06 icount=115, z=3.136469e-08 icount=135, z=8.087398e-11 icount=153, z=1.185804e-13 icount=171, z=9.008498e-16 175 0.94133 1.50000 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1152 Number of iterations = 175 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1151.868 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2317.736 BIC =2341.864 BIC_tp =2328.998 BIC_c =2337.846 ln_det_I =-4.018 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 0.00847 sigma = 27.50270 mm/yr^0.75000 d = 1.5000 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -3.0000 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.99153 sigma = 46.15295 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 46.34966 bias : 4.052 +/- 23.876 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 17.281 +/- 3.278 mm/year cos yearly : 17.119 +/- 5.897 mm sin yearly : -67.304 +/- 5.901 mm Amp yearly : 69.698 +/- 5.888 mm Pha yearly : -75.729 degrees --> mom_files/1747.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec