************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1749.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=8.525789e-02 icount=40, z=6.273859e-03 icount=57, z=6.881660e-03 icount=76, z=9.658650e-05 icount=94, z=5.049958e-07 icount=113, z=1.174869e-09 icount=132, z=1.085460e-10 icount=151, z=5.435740e-14 icount=169, z=7.366145e-16 173 0.94718 1.50000 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1156 Number of iterations = 173 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1156.313 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2326.625 BIC =2350.752 BIC_tp =2337.887 BIC_c =2346.881 ln_det_I =-3.871 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 0.00687 sigma = 25.34903 mm/yr^0.75000 d = 1.5000 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -3.0000 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.99313 sigma = 47.28038 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 47.44357 bias : 7.453 +/- 22.475 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 10.564 +/- 3.104 mm/year cos yearly : 18.156 +/- 6.021 mm sin yearly : -80.493 +/- 6.026 mm Amp yearly : 82.736 +/- 6.016 mm Pha yearly : -77.289 degrees --> mom_files/1749.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec