************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/1926.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=1.008009e-03 icount=40, z=5.775127e-06 icount=57, z=8.949395e-10 icount=76, z=3.343822e-13 icount=95, z=2.310263e-17 99 0.00002 0.31719 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 814.9 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-814.922 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1643.844 BIC =1667.971 BIC_tp =1655.106 BIC_c =1682.961 ln_det_I =14.989 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 11.97344 mm/yr^0.15860 d = 0.3172 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.6344 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00024 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 8.07357 bias : -3.426 +/- 1.276 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.363 +/- 0.190 mm/year cos yearly : -8.071 +/- 0.914 mm sin yearly : -3.612 +/- 0.916 mm Amp yearly : 8.890 +/- 0.913 mm Pha yearly : -155.888 degrees --> mom_files/1926.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec