************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/2217.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=9.913971e-05 icount=40, z=2.643177e-07 icount=59, z=9.835549e-11 icount=77, z=6.722246e-15 icount=95, z=4.368173e-18 99 0.00001 0.38616 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 762.5 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-762.461 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1538.922 BIC =1563.049 BIC_tp =1550.184 BIC_c =1578.914 ln_det_I =15.865 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 10.38212 mm/yr^0.19308 d = 0.3862 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.7723 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00005 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 6.42565 bias : -0.273 +/- 1.237 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.197 +/- 0.183 mm/year cos yearly : -1.337 +/- 0.760 mm sin yearly : -5.643 +/- 0.762 mm Amp yearly : 5.849 +/- 0.758 mm Pha yearly : -103.334 degrees --> mom_files/2217.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec