************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/2727.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=1.954054e-03 icount=40, z=2.865045e-06 icount=58, z=1.697825e-09 icount=76, z=9.223025e-14 icount=94, z=1.259775e-16 98 0.00002 0.27276 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 907.2 Number of iterations = 98 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-907.171 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1828.342 BIC =1852.469 BIC_tp =1839.604 BIC_c =1864.876 ln_det_I =12.408 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 16.88354 mm/yr^0.13638 d = 0.2728 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.5455 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00036 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 12.03054 bias : -0.859 +/- 1.675 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.948 +/- 0.251 mm/year cos yearly : -14.851 +/- 1.324 mm sin yearly : -14.363 +/- 1.327 mm Amp yearly : 20.703 +/- 1.324 mm Pha yearly : -135.959 degrees --> mom_files/2727.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec