************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/3262.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=6.972336e-03 icount=41, z=4.158021e-07 icount=60, z=5.728462e-10 icount=77, z=9.650166e-14 icount=95, z=8.831543e-16 99 0.00004 0.30410 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 802.9 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-802.937 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1619.874 BIC =1644.001 BIC_tp =1631.136 BIC_c =1659.580 ln_det_I =15.579 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 11.19137 mm/yr^0.15205 d = 0.3041 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.6082 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00051 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 7.66996 bias : -4.163 +/- 1.167 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.704 +/- 0.174 mm/year cos yearly : -4.706 +/- 0.861 mm sin yearly : -3.565 +/- 0.863 mm Amp yearly : 5.967 +/- 0.857 mm Pha yearly : -142.850 degrees --> mom_files/3262.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec