************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/3570.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=5.895058e-04 icount=42, z=1.086724e-06 icount=60, z=1.960497e-09 icount=79, z=4.430849e-15 icount=98, z=1.573854e-16 102 0.00002 0.25897 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1168 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1168.406 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2350.813 BIC =2374.940 BIC_tp =2362.075 BIC_c =2378.525 ln_det_I =3.585 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 51.19183 mm/yr^0.12949 d = 0.2590 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.5179 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00100 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 37.10740 bias : -19.171 +/- 4.969 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 4.506 +/- 0.746 mm/year cos yearly : -3.190 +/- 4.049 mm sin yearly : -10.143 +/- 4.057 mm Amp yearly : 11.443 +/- 3.867 mm Pha yearly : -107.459 degrees --> mom_files/3570.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec