************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/3699.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=1.712314e-03 icount=40, z=3.846023e-07 icount=60, z=2.577821e-10 icount=77, z=1.088263e-13 icount=95, z=1.063637e-16 99 0.00001 0.42793 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 878.4 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-878.361 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1770.722 BIC =1794.849 BIC_tp =1781.984 BIC_c =1806.151 ln_det_I =11.302 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 17.99501 mm/yr^0.21397 d = 0.4279 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.8559 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00025 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 10.57410 bias : -10.000 +/- 2.295 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.213 +/- 0.338 mm/year cos yearly : -5.906 +/- 1.285 mm sin yearly : -13.598 +/- 1.288 mm Amp yearly : 14.881 +/- 1.284 mm Pha yearly : -113.475 degrees --> mom_files/3699.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec