************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4000.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=1.886633e-03 icount=42, z=1.475314e-06 icount=59, z=5.160595e-09 icount=79, z=2.140433e-13 icount=98, z=2.946781e-16 102 0.00004 0.31738 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1115 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1114.951 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2243.902 BIC =2268.029 BIC_tp =2255.164 BIC_c =2272.670 ln_det_I =4.641 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 43.64772 mm/yr^0.15869 d = 0.3174 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.6348 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00206 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 29.42421 bias : -16.421 +/- 4.652 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 4.081 +/- 0.694 mm/year cos yearly : 5.920 +/- 3.332 mm sin yearly : -9.555 +/- 3.339 mm Amp yearly : 11.749 +/- 3.251 mm Pha yearly : -58.218 degrees --> mom_files/4000.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec