************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4196.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=3.057687e-04 icount=41, z=2.044465e-06 icount=61, z=8.001303e-11 icount=79, z=1.723845e-12 icount=97, z=6.630139e-16 101 0.00001 0.33655 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1021 Number of iterations = 101 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1021.255 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2056.511 BIC =2080.638 BIC_tp =2067.773 BIC_c =2088.250 ln_det_I =7.613 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 29.83046 mm/yr^0.16827 d = 0.3365 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.6731 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00035 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 19.63641 bias : -13.204 +/- 3.279 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 1.950 +/- 0.488 mm/year cos yearly : 3.360 +/- 2.251 mm sin yearly : -9.944 +/- 2.256 mm Amp yearly : 10.741 +/- 2.226 mm Pha yearly : -71.331 degrees --> mom_files/4196.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec