************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4213.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=2.835771e-04 icount=43, z=2.074339e-04 icount=63, z=1.025639e-06 icount=79, z=8.679459e-10 icount=98, z=2.398926e-13 icount=117, z=2.147028e-16 121 0.00002 0.32385 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 913.1 Number of iterations = 121 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-913.060 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1840.120 BIC =1864.247 BIC_tp =1851.382 BIC_c =1875.763 ln_det_I =11.515 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 18.42635 mm/yr^0.16193 d = 0.3239 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.6477 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00047 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 12.32228 bias : -8.446 +/- 1.984 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.836 +/- 0.296 mm/year cos yearly : 3.688 +/- 1.401 mm sin yearly : -9.539 +/- 1.404 mm Amp yearly : 10.324 +/- 1.396 mm Pha yearly : -68.863 degrees --> mom_files/4213.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec