************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4220.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=2.268959e-03 icount=40, z=1.002146e-06 icount=58, z=9.224099e-10 icount=75, z=1.632471e-12 icount=95, z=7.788072e-17 99 0.00001 0.19054 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 973.6 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-973.592 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1961.184 BIC =1985.311 BIC_tp =1972.446 BIC_c =1996.533 ln_det_I =11.222 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 20.33540 mm/yr^0.09527 d = 0.1905 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.3811 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00016 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 16.04864 bias : -20.844 +/- 1.773 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 4.291 +/- 0.268 mm/year cos yearly : 6.015 +/- 1.678 mm sin yearly : -8.823 +/- 1.681 mm Amp yearly : 10.811 +/- 1.668 mm Pha yearly : -55.717 degrees --> mom_files/4220.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec