************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4505.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=3.296704e-03 icount=40, z=7.386842e-07 icount=59, z=1.783184e-10 icount=78, z=7.528218e-15 icount=96, z=2.729193e-18 100 0.00004 0.74778 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1021 Number of iterations = 100 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1021.166 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2056.332 BIC =2080.460 BIC_tp =2067.594 BIC_c =2082.478 ln_det_I =2.018 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 48.85954 mm/yr^0.37389 d = 0.7478 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.4956 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00127 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 19.29540 bias : -30.781 +/- 10.610 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -13.712 +/- 1.503 mm/year cos yearly : -3.697 +/- 2.889 mm sin yearly : -6.794 +/- 2.892 mm Amp yearly : 8.301 +/- 2.764 mm Pha yearly : -118.556 degrees --> mom_files/4505.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec