************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/4551.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=4.012159e-04 icount=41, z=7.381895e-09 icount=60, z=1.623993e-12 icount=79, z=1.132367e-15 83 0.00004 0.61180 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 880.9 Number of iterations = 83 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-880.879 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1775.757 BIC =1799.884 BIC_tp =1787.019 BIC_c =1808.596 ln_det_I =8.712 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 22.68851 mm/yr^0.30590 d = 0.6118 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.2236 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00060 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 10.60927 bias : 1.126 +/- 3.924 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 8.865 +/- 0.565 mm/year cos yearly : -2.790 +/- 1.453 mm sin yearly : -3.101 +/- 1.455 mm Amp yearly : 4.435 +/- 1.400 mm Pha yearly : -131.984 degrees --> mom_files/4551.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec