************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x161.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=7.531899e-03 icount=41, z=3.087857e-06 icount=60, z=1.562814e-10 icount=78, z=1.712132e-13 icount=96, z=3.980031e-18 100 0.00000 0.58018 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1065 Number of iterations = 100 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1065.072 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2144.143 BIC =2168.270 BIC_tp =2155.405 BIC_c =2171.062 ln_det_I =2.792 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 48.32394 mm/yr^0.29009 d = 0.5802 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.1604 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00007 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 23.50176 bias : -6.644 +/- 7.929 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -0.705 +/- 1.147 mm/year cos yearly : -11.823 +/- 3.152 mm sin yearly : 35.490 +/- 3.158 mm Amp yearly : 37.541 +/- 3.149 mm Pha yearly : 108.424 degrees --> mom_files/x161.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec