************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x510.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=5.925397e-05 icount=40, z=4.041252e-08 icount=59, z=5.841433e-12 icount=77, z=9.907596e-14 icount=95, z=1.486899e-17 99 0.00004 0.12490 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 970.4 Number of iterations = 99 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-970.401 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =1954.801 BIC =1978.928 BIC_tp =1966.063 BIC_c =1991.136 ln_det_I =12.208 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 18.50684 mm/yr^0.06245 d = 0.1249 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.2498 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00090 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 15.84656 bias : -27.022 +/- 1.459 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 2.132 +/- 0.221 mm/year cos yearly : -12.749 +/- 1.590 mm sin yearly : -9.360 +/- 1.592 mm Amp yearly : 15.896 +/- 1.587 mm Pha yearly : -143.713 degrees --> mom_files/x510.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec