************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x548.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=7.150773e-03 icount=42, z=8.162259e-07 icount=61, z=5.816671e-10 icount=78, z=7.403433e-13 icount=98, z=9.343709e-17 102 0.00005 0.74970 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1063 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1062.622 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2139.245 BIC =2163.372 BIC_tp =2150.507 BIC_c =2163.935 ln_det_I =0.563 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 58.55293 mm/yr^0.37485 d = 0.7497 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.4994 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00168 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 23.06831 bias : -27.054 +/- 12.756 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -12.164 +/- 1.806 mm/year cos yearly : -9.897 +/- 3.458 mm sin yearly : 51.932 +/- 3.462 mm Amp yearly : 52.980 +/- 3.456 mm Pha yearly : 100.790 degrees --> mom_files/x548.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec