************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x641.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=21, z=7.254509e-03 icount=40, z=1.182140e-06 icount=58, z=6.209357e-11 icount=77, z=6.971500e-14 icount=96, z=1.883029e-17 100 0.00002 0.84911 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1132 Number of iterations = 100 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1132.212 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2278.423 BIC =2302.551 BIC_tp =2289.685 BIC_c =2299.356 ln_det_I =-3.195 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 88.95712 mm/yr^0.42456 d = 0.8491 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.6982 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00088 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 30.97479 bias : -3.246 +/- 22.903 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -21.979 +/- 3.203 mm/year cos yearly : -9.955 +/- 4.959 mm sin yearly : 49.242 +/- 4.963 mm Amp yearly : 50.484 +/- 4.949 mm Pha yearly : 101.429 degrees --> mom_files/x641.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec