************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x723.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=22, z=4.067657e-03 icount=42, z=4.141807e-10 icount=61, z=6.635552e-12 icount=80, z=5.674515e-15 icount=99, z=7.898460e-19 103 0.00007 0.82188 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1069 Number of iterations = 103 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1069.382 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2152.764 BIC =2176.891 BIC_tp =2164.026 BIC_c =2176.235 ln_det_I =-0.656 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 65.69143 mm/yr^0.41094 d = 0.8219 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.6438 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00248 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 23.66095 bias : 6.387 +/- 16.155 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -7.063 +/- 2.267 mm/year cos yearly : -11.791 +/- 3.720 mm sin yearly : 65.435 +/- 3.724 mm Amp yearly : 66.593 +/- 3.719 mm Pha yearly : 100.215 degrees --> mom_files/x723.mom Total computing time: 1.00000 sec