************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/x830.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=7.760370e-03 icount=41, z=1.805453e-06 icount=59, z=2.832154e-10 icount=79, z=2.383975e-14 icount=98, z=8.212846e-17 102 0.00002 0.58688 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1183 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1182.930 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2379.859 BIC =2403.987 BIC_tp =2391.121 BIC_c =2402.623 ln_det_I =-1.364 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 80.96012 mm/yr^0.29344 d = 0.5869 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -1.1738 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00114 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 39.04792 bias : 62.587 +/- 13.433 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: -4.470 +/- 1.941 mm/year cos yearly : 24.064 +/- 5.260 mm sin yearly : 0.827 +/- 5.269 mm Amp yearly : 24.661 +/- 5.198 mm Pha yearly : 1.968 degrees --> mom_files/x830.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec