************************************ estimatetrend, version 1.9 ************************************ 0) GGM 1) VaryingAnnual Data format: MJD, Observations, Model Filename : pre_files/xx74.mom Number of observations: 265 Percentage of gaps : 12.45 ---------------- AmmarGrag ---------------- No Polynomial degree set, using offset + linear trend No extra periodic signal is included. Number of CPU's used (threads) = 8 icount=23, z=7.379232e-06 icount=42, z=1.290756e-08 icount=61, z=1.369255e-13 icount=81, z=2.157448e-14 icount=98, z=6.907098e-18 102 0.00002 0.19904 Return code IFAULT = 0 Estimate of minimizing value X*: F(X*) = 1298 Number of iterations = 102 Number of restarts = 0 Cannot compute Fisher matrix: out of range Likelihood value -------------------- min log(L)=-1298.166 k =4 + 2 + 1 = 7 AIC =2610.332 BIC =2634.460 BIC_tp =2621.594 BIC_c =2634.375 ln_det_I =-0.084 Noise models ------------ GGM: fraction = 1.00000 sigma = 83.24421 mm/yr^0.09952 d = 0.1990 +/- 0.0000 kappa = -0.3981 +/- 0.0000 1-phi = 5.000000e-02 (fixed) VaryingAnnual: fraction = 0.00000 sigma = 0.00251 mm phi = 0.80000 (fixed) STD of the driving noise: 65.00619 bias : -18.235 +/- 7.354 mm (at 2013/4/16, 12:0:0.000) trend: 7.123 +/- 1.109 mm/year cos yearly : 14.836 +/- 6.831 mm sin yearly : -70.273 +/- 6.844 mm Amp yearly : 72.148 +/- 6.822 mm Pha yearly : -78.079 degrees --> mom_files/xx74.mom Total computing time: 0.00000 sec